Issue 7 - February 2007
Tony Mitchell

Welcome to our first newsletter of 2007.  Our aim is to bring you the latest facts, news and comment on insolvency and business related issues. 

If you missed our earlier Business Rescue and Insolvency Newsletters you can read them on-line on the Cranfield Recovery website.

Tony Mitchell
Managing Director
024 7655 3700
In this issue...
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 Insolvency Latest - Quarter 4 2006, published Feb 2007

  No. In Quarter Change On Previous Quarter Change On Same Period Last Year
Company Liquidations

3194

-1.4%

-0.1%

Receiverships

162

+74%

+16.5%

Administrations

1479

+119%

+155%

Company Voluntary
Arrangements

106

-32%

-5%

Bankruptcies

17,063

+9.6%

+24.8%

Individual Voluntary
Arrangements

12,741

+3.9%

+81.9%

Source: DTI quarterly report.
A detailed breakdown of the quarterly figures can be found on the Cranfield Recovery website


There are no real surprises in the year end figures for insolvencies published last week by the DTI.  Individual insolvencies continue to rise, and we would suggest will continue to do so, reaching as many as 120,000 over the next 12 months.

The total corporate insolvency figures for 2006 make interesting reading.  Overall, year on year, there has been a 9% increase in corporate insolvencies but this masks some significant movements within the types of insolvencies.  Administrations saw a rise of 58% on 2005, whereas Voluntary Liquidations saw an increase of less than 1%.  This movement clearly demonstrates the shift towards Administration as the preferred insolvency route when a choice is available, but whether it is promoting the rescue culture objective of the Enterprise Act 2002 is questioned in an article in Accountancy Age (1 February 2007).

There was a huge rise in individual insolvencies in 2006, with the total reaching 107,000 but with the continued increase in consumer spending, the continuing availability of credit and wide scale promotion of IVAs as a magic solution, we see no reason for the growth to drop off this year.

The significant increase in IVAs is causing concern in a number of quarters and R3 (The Association of Business Recovery Professionals) is sponsoring research to understand the dynamics of the sudden rise in IVA numbers and explore whether debtors are being given correct advice by the newly formed “IVA factories”.

The Insolvency Practitioners Association is forming a new regulatory structure specifically to cover this new breed of personal insolvency advisers, although it is noticeable that one of the largest has already rejected the idea of external regulation, claiming their own internal quality checks are sufficient.

Comparisons are already being made with the endowment policy scandals of the 1990’s, with the quality of advice being called into question from a number of quarters.

Our advice to any individual with financial difficulties is to seek advice from a qualified insolvency practitioner in the first instance.


Office Move A Great Success

At the end of 2006 the Cranfield Group moved to new offices in the centre of Coventry and so far it’s been a great success.

Cranfield Recovery, founded in Warwick in 2001, moved into Youell House, 1 Hill Top just off Priory Place in the city centre, sharing the building with the offices of Coventry Cathedral.

Office move

Tony Mitchell, Group managing director says “The move brings us right into the heart of the city and closer to many of our professional contacts and the businesses we serve.

Coventry has an expanding professional services sector and there is no question that the city is growing as a business centre. The move allows us to be a part of that while still remaining in touch with all of our contacts in Warwickshire”.


Industry Focus: Dentists � A Picture of Health?

The financial situation within the NHS is rarely out of the news; there’s hardly a day goes by without some talk of cut backs, deficits or job losses.  In June 2006 it was estimated that the deficit across the service was some £512 million and job losses of 15,000 were expected.  Clearly this is worrying for all concerned.  But perhaps more concerning is a trend in the number of dentists, opticians and other health related professionals who are facing financial difficulties.

You might be somewhat surprised to hear this – given the impression of heaving dental surgeries, refusals to take on more NHS patients and the vision of the high living, Porsche driving professional.  However, when you consider the business model for dentist practices, it’s not hard to see how dentists could encounter financial problems.

Dentists are similar to other professionals who trade in partnership.  They suffer the same succession issues and are reliant on their professional abilities and skills to bring in work and carry it out.  They have the added pressure of needing to renew and revamp their surgeries with modern technology and the latest equipment.  As a consequence equipment is frequently renewed much more frequently than in any other business, with the associated costs that this incurs.

DentistsDentists are also victims of their own success, in that financiers generally see them as a ‘safe bet’ and are therefore willing to extend credit to them, perhaps more readily than they might to businesses in other sectors.  Dentists are not immune to other pressures too – such as competition, pricing and general economic impacts.  But perhaps the most significant limiting factor is time.  Dentists cannot easily delegate their work to more junior members of staff, so sales are often limited by time constraints – ie the number of patients a dentist can see in any one day.

And the cuts in NHS funding are affecting dentists directly too.  Nectarios Katsikas is a dentist who's been seeing NHS patients who find it difficult to get treatment elsewhere - but he's worried about the future.

With 1,000 families already on his list he can’t afford to accept new patients on the NHS - because he's calculated he will take home just £350 a month for what is currently 70% of his workload. "The sums are very low - disappointingly low. If the health authority does not renegotiate the contract I won't even be able to meet my mortgage and my car loan.”  *

Of course most dentist practices in the UK today are healthy businesses – but many would benefit from a routine financial check up to make sure they don’t go the same way as other elements of the health service in getting into debt and having to lay off staff.

* quoted from BBC radio interview last year.


Meet the Cranfield Team � Patrick Murtagh
Patrick Murtagh

Coinciding with the move to Coventry, Cranfield Group Director Patrick Murtagh has announced that he is planning to become increasingly involved with the activities of Cranfield Recovery. 

Since joining the Cranfield Group in 2002 Patrick has spent his time between the insolvency practise, managing the Group’s finances and developing Oken Finance, an associated company which aims to assist business owners and directors source finance and implement business solutions.  With a full time Business Finance Manager having recently been recruited by Oken, Patrick is now able to devote significantly more of his time to direct corporate turnaround work, bringing with him a wealth of experience, knowledge and contacts.

Patrick has spent the whole of his professional career working in or on the fringes of corporate recovery. Before joining Cranfield Patrick worked for Baker Tilly in the Midlands and prior to that spent time with BDO Stoy Hayward and an independent insolvency practice, both in the South West. With his experience in sourcing of alternative avenues of finance Patrick possesses the skill set that is proving useful to business owners and directors alike.

Patrick has developed for Oken a core base of sources of business finance and, with the group’s relocation to Coventry, he is keen to see these sources expand within the local market.  Patrick is always interested to meet like minded individuals from bankers and asset based lenders who may identify areas in which their clients require assistance and with whom he may be able to develop reciprocal working arrangements with to business owners and directors who would be interested in availing themselves of his skill set.  Call Patrick on 024 7655 3700 or email patrick.murtagh@cranfieldrecovery.com.

 5 Good Reasons to Hire a Turnaround Professional By Patrick Murtagh

When things go wrong in a business the ability to act quickly and get the right advice can make all the difference.  In these circumstances your clients should certainly be taking specialist advice.  Patrick points out circumstances in which company directors should consider taking advice from a turnaround professional.

  1. You don’t have the right skills and experience on your Board or in your management team to handle the current crisis
  2. Your bank is pulling the plug or refusing to extend credit yet you believe in your product and business concept
  3. You feel your business is on a downward spiral – you have poor financial information and are losing control
  4. You realise you need to restructure your debts but don’t have the knowledge or the contacts to get the best deal
  5. You are facing a serious cash crisis and can’t see a way out
Quote for the Quarter:

“A bank is where they lend you an umbrella in fair weather and ask for it back when it begins to rain.”  Robert Frost, American Poet


Industry Comment
Retail Ups and Downs Automotive Industry Set for Continued Consolidation

It’s difficult to draw any conclusions at the moment about the true state of the retail market, with reports varying from ‘Christmas trading period was far from a disaster’ in the Birmingham Post to Equifax reporting the biggest rise in business failures amongst retailers, with an increase of 17.2% in 2006.

One thing does seem to be having a significant impact on the success of retailers however is their ability to use new technology and take advantage of the shift away from the high street and onto the internet.  We predict that those retailers who fail to embrace online trading in 2007 will suffer.

A recent KPMG survey of the global automotive industry found that 87% of respondents expect insolvencies in the industry to increase or remain the same over the next five years.  The sector is affected by global over capacity as well as ongoing price pressures.

On a more local level we have direct evidence of the stresses on the sector with the final shut down of the Ryton plant in January 2007. PSA Peugeot Citroen said its decision to close the Ryton factory was justified as it reported a 0.7 per cent downturn in global sales.

Calling All Go-Karters
Karting winners

The search is on for this year’s Cranfield Carting Challenge Champions.  After the roaring success of the 2006 competition we are inviting professional firms to enter a team in the 2007 Cranfield Carting Challenge Cup. 

The competition involves teams battling it out over a series of 2-hour endurance races with a minimum of four driver changes.  Four races will be held in total, in March, May, July and September.  For more details or to enter a team email Maria at Cranfield Recovery.

The 2006 winning team from Shortland Horne who are ready to take on all comers. Pictured: (back from left) David Penn, Nigel Bates, Matt Sills, Cameron Thomson; (front from left): Laura Shortland, Mark Sills and Sarah Humphries.


Cranfield Recovery employs 10 people and is based in Coventry. It was founded in 2001 and moved from Warwick to Coventry at the end of 2006.  Cranfield Recovery deal with all aspects of corporate, business and personal financial problems.

Tony Mitchell is a Licensed Insolvency Practitioner, a fellow of the Association of Chartered Certified Accountants and a member of the Midland’s Regional Committee of the Association of Business Recovery Professionals.

Cranfield Recovery Limited
Youell House
1 Hill Top
Coventry
CV1 5AB
Telephone:    024 7655 3700
Fax:             024 7655 3777
Email:           enquiries@cranfieldrecovery.com

� 2007 Cranfield Recovery Ltd